With big wins for Castleford and Warrington over Wigan and Leeds respectively at the weekend, you would expect there to be some movement in the betting market.
In terms of a Grand Final winner, Castleford have moved to favourites to win their first Super League crown and are priced favourites among several bookmakers but you can get longer at SkyBet and Stan James who price them at 15/8. The latter had them at 9/4 prior to their win at the DW Stadium.
Wigan, whose injury problems have been well documented, are now second favourites in most places – with Stan James still pricing them up as slight favourites. You can get 9/4 on the Warriors at 32Red, 888 Sport and Unibet. Given the third favourites are Hull at 7/1 – the bookies seem to think that the final will be a rematch of Thursday night’s clash when it comes to the showpiece at Old Trafford in October.
In the regular season Paddy Power are the only bookmaker currently offering odds against for Castleford to be leading the way after 23 rounds 6/5. They’re still favourites but it looks like the best price you’ll get and one worth backing given they are showing no signs of dropping off at this stage of the season.
If you don’t fancy it to be a Castleford v Wigan final come October then there is plenty of value to be found. Leeds are available at 14/1 to claim another Super League crown – St Helens are slightly shorter at 12/1 following on from their poor start to the season.
One interesting market to keep track of will be the top four market. Despite lying in sixth, it appears many have faith in Wigan to get their players back and put a run together that will ensure they are in in the mix come the business end of the season.
There has been some significant movement on Salford’s price. Prior to the weekend’s fixtures they were 7/1 to finish in the top four – but a 54-18 win at Hull FC has made many people sit up and take notice. They currently sit second and are now 3/1 to be in the mix come the end of the campaign. Given they have beaten Castleford, St Helens, Warrington and now Hull, if the Red Devils can sustain this promising start they may well be a team to be feared.
Warrington’s win over Leeds has cut them to 11/4 to finish in the top four though they have a lot of work to do after surrendering so much ground early on, while Leeds are still odds against at 6/4. Despite being in such poor form, St Helens are 8/11 with Bet Victor but if they were to lose to a depleted Wigan on Good Friday, those numbers could soon turn around.