Early assessments of Easter Monday – upsets possible, but hard to call

It’s probably hard to find value on Easter Monday – most of it will be down to how many bodies each side has to go up against the other. If you want to compare it to football – imagine them playing on New Years’ Eve and the 2nd January. There could be some blowout scorelines here.

Castleford at 4/5 away to a troubled St Helens could be a good bet. It might not be pretty and a tighter game than you would have imagined if it had taken place three days earlier.

Purely for the difference on the handicap, if you fancy Castleford, you should back them on the handicap – because how often do you see a side win by two points or less in a rugby league game when it ought to be tight? So the Tigers -2 at 10/11 has to be worth backing.

One has to wonder if Hull can arrest their recent slump after five disappointing halves of rugby. Allowing Warrington to come back to draw against you and then conceding 50 to both Salford and Leeds must knock you a little. Leigh have been able to beat sides that are out of form at home this season, and 7/4 is a reasonable price. If you want a safer bet then back them on the handicap. The Centurions at +6 is available at 10/11.

Leeds should continue to pile the misery on Widnes, but the Vikings might make it tight as they continue to get players back, plus they’ve had an extra day’s rest – and Huddersfield are winless for so long that Warrington’s renaissance should continue. Wire’s wins haven’t been big ones so far, so Huddersfield might keep it within 14 points, and are evens to do so with Bet365 and SkyBet.

For the televised games, Wigan should kick on and record back-to-back wins but given how Wakefield have made things tight at home this season, they might not cover the 10 point start given to Trinity. 10/11 on them to keep it within that margin looks like a decent bet.

Catalans having a couple of extra days off compared to Salford – especially given the Red Devils had to do it tough against Leigh may mean that covering -6 at 10/11 is a good bet. If there is an alternative handicap of above evens, it’d be hard not to take.

The Easter Monday games can come up with some bizarre scorelines, making it a little more tricky to bet on than usual.

 

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