Post-Challenge Cup draw: Market movers and value

The Challenge Cup last-16 draw has certainly thrown up some interesting ties which seem to have had a profound effect on the market compared to 24 hours ago.

The draw is below:

Leeds Rhinos v Barrow Raiders

Salford Red Devils v Hull Kingston Rovers

Castleford Tigers v St Helens

Featherstone Rovers v Halifax

Hull FC v Catalans Dragons

Dewsbury Rams v Wakefield Trinity

Swinton Lions v Wigan Warriors

Warrington Wolves v Widnes Vikings

As you can see there are some very interesting ties, including three all-Super League ties which could be pretty difficult to call including leaders Castleford Tigers taking on a St Helens side that got the better of them not so long ago. Hull FC will need a different result from their meeting earlier on in the season with Catalans Dragons where they narrowly missed out if they are to successfully defend the trophy they lifted last August.

Warrington entertain Widnes in a local derby too, but the home side will be heavily fancied there as they have begun to find form.

Predictably, Leeds and Warrington have seen their prices cut. The Rhinos are nailed on for a place in the quarter-finals. Warrington are as short as 9/2 but 11/2 is still available.

Leeds are now 4/1 in some places having been 8’s. If you get anything like 6 or 7/1 then you have got yourself a good price.

Wigan are the outright favourites after being handed a favourable draw away to Huddersifeld’s conquerors Swinton, and are best priced 7/2 – though they have been cut to as short as 11/4.

After being a short as 4/1, Castleford are now out to 6/1 while St Helens’ price has drifted and are available at 12/1 with Betway. Hull have drifted to 8/1 and Catalans are 25’s. If you fancy any of those sides to lift the cup at Wembley, the chances are you won’t get any longer than that.

As for a value bet, Wakefield can still be found at 25/1 and will be strong favourites to make it through to the quarter-finals. Not many sides will relish the trip to take on Trinity as they have kept things tight at home this season whenever they have been beaten. That price is likely to come in if they get to the last eight and they’re likely to make it difficult for any side they face.

The ties will be play on 13/14th May when we will have some bets on the individual ties themselves. The chances are there could be some good prices to be had!


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