Friday’s televised clash between Hull FC and Warrington is anticipated to be a close one.
A couple of weeks ago, it seemed that the Challenge Cup holders endured a worrying blip after conceding 50 points in each of their back-to-back home losses to Salford and Leeds.
But they seem to have put that behind them, having bounced back with a win at Leigh prior to getting the better of league leaders Castleford in a game when they had 12 men for over half of the encounter.
Warrington go into this game having won each of their last four games. Following a woeful start to the season, their renaissance started with their second half fightback against Hull at the start of the month – with the draw resulting in their first point of the season. They seem to have used that as a springboard but as recent victories against Widnes, Huddersfield and Wakefield will show, they haven’t been too convincing.
So Hull go into this encounter as 8/13 favourites, with Warrington available at 7/4 and given a slender handicap start – varying from two to six points.
You can get Evens with either side on a six-point handicap (Hull -6, Warrington +6) with William Hill.
All of the statistics point towards this being a pretty tight encounter at the KCOM Stadium so the chances are there won’t be far to look in the margin of victory market. Warrington’s biggest win so far this season has been by 11 points – their last three games have seen them win by nine, and twice by two points.
Wire to win by 1-10 points is available at 3/1 while 1-5 points, like their last two games is available at double the price – 6/1. For a win by 6-10 points, you can get them at 8’s.
For Hull, the margin of their wins have been pretty logical – the sides towards the bottom of the table and out of form have been on the end of bigger defeats. Against the top sides they have been pretty close.
Four of their games have been won between two and 10 points this season. For them to make it a fifth win by such a margin, you can get them at 12/5. For them to win by 1-5 points you can get 5/1 or by 6-10 points at 9/2.
1-10 points at 12/5 for Hull seems to be a bet we like and if you can get them to cover -4 at 10/11 (Sky Bet, Stan James, Coral) that is probably a ‘safer’ handicap bet. A lot will depend on whether Warrington can show up like they did for their encounter with Leeds earlier in the month.
For the victorious punter, it could be down to a bet on gut instinct.