Castleford take on Wigan in a huge meeting of the two favourites for the Super League crown at the Jungle on Saturday evening.
Unfortunately, it’s not televised – which given its 7pm kick-off time will have been nice for those who are fan of other sports as well. Apparently two men who are very good at hitting people are going to hit each other and it’s the highlight of the sporting weekend. This on the box beforehand would have been a nice appetiser but no such luck.
The home side are the favourites – not surprising as they went into this weekend top of the Super League with a 100% home record, and they got the better of their opponents only a matter of weeks ago.
The Tigers are widely available at 4/7 to keep their impressive home record going and they have made it a difficult place for Wigan to visit in recent meetings. Castleford have won four of the last six at home against Wigan, and the Warriors victories there have been hard fought.
However, it’s the visitors carrying some form into the game having won each of their last three. Even without Thomas Leuluai, 2/1 looks on the big side. They are in better shape than their last meeting, while Castleford will look to put back-to-back away defeats behind them.
Given Castleford’s home record, getting them to cover 10 points on the handicap at 6/4 (Hills) could be a great shout, though you could be in for a nervy evening.
As a result, Castleford in the margin of victory betting could be either 6-10 points or 11-15 points. You can get best price 5/1 on the former and 8/1 on the bigger margin range.
If you fancy a Wigan win, the chances are it will be pretty tight, but they can put more than one score between them and their opponents. Wigan are 8/1 to win by 6-10 points with Betfred which looks pretty good value.