The last game of Round 22 sees St. Helens take on Catalans Dragons on Sunday afternoon.
The Saints have won every home game that Justin Holbrook has been in charge for – including some notable scalps – while the Dragons are trying to find their feet after three games under Steve McNamara in preparation for the Middle 8s qualifiers.
Saints will sense they have an opportunity to close up on the sides ahead of them with Hull FC and Salford both losing on Friday night.
Predictably they are favourites and best priced 1/4 with Catalans touching 4/1 with some bookmakers. The Dragons have been given 12-point start on the handicap at 10/11 in most places though +14 is available.
Jon Wilkin has returned to the Saints side after serving a suspension with Adam Swift dropping out, while Catalans include two loan signings from Wigan in the form of Lewis Tierney and Romain Navarrete.
Also, Richie Myler makes his return from injury while Greg Bird and Fouad Yaha make their return from suspension.
It could be a similar story to last week for the Dragons in that they keep the game tight for long periods but their opponents will have too much for them – and Saints will end up covering the handicap. We’d take them at Evens with William Hill to do just that.
As for a winning margin, we would look at Saints putting some distance between the two sides on the scoreboard and winning by 16-20 points at 11/2.