Castleford make their trip to the south of France to take on Catalans Dragons looking to extend their winning run on Saturday evening – and possibly their lead at the top of Super League.
The Tigers are currently in commanding position – eight points clear going into this round of fixtures – and look certain to pick up the league leaders shield, and face a Catalans side trying to turn things around under Steve McNamara.
He will have seen some positives during his time, he knows his side can score points, in a couple of games they have shown signs of defensive improvement but their habit of leaking points continues to blight them.
They have named the same 19-man squad who lost to St. Helens last week as they look to lay down a marker ahead of their participation in the Middle Eight qualifiers. The bookies don’t fancy their chances that much with the Dragons priced as long as 11/4 and have been given a 10-point start on the handicap with most outlets.
Castleford will be without Greg Eden with the extent of his absence because of a shoulder injury still to be determined, but Matt Cook returns after a seven week lay-off.
The league leaders are best priced 4/11. We’d fancy them to cover that 10-point handicap and pretty comfortably given the statistics from across the season. The Tigers average win has been just over 20 points, while Catalans average defeat has been… just over 20 points! We’d go a little bolder on that handicap and back Castleford -14 at 11/8.
As for a winning margin bet, we’re going to go alone with the average statistics and suggest a Castleford win by 21-25 points – available at 10/1.